Thursday, July 16, 2009

Nobody is winning the War on Terror

Most Wanted is fast paced thriller set against the background of the War on Terror. A critical issue for all of us sane individuals, who look forward to victory against the terrorists, is whether or not we are actually winning this war? But before we can answer the question, we must reach a common understanding on the extent of the conflict and who are the true opponents. Many wrongly perceive the US alliance to be fighting al-Qaeda and it’s sympathizers, part of a single homogeneous organization; when in fact it faces a global, radical Islamic insurgency. During the Bush years the war on terror was narrowly equated firstly to the campaign in Afghanistan and then later to Iraq. Undoubtedly, the focus in Afghanistan is more closely aligned to the objective of fighting terror, with its aim to put al-Qaeda and the Taliban out of business. Arguably though, the war in Iraq has had very little to do with combating terrorism on a global scale. Yet, no matter how you define the war victory appears elusive.

Radical Islam is much more insidious than just al Qaeda—comprising a whole range of loosely knit networks and organizations that are united only in their opposition to long standing Western policies. In most cases there is no obvious connection to al Qaeda—take for example the perpetrators of the 7/7 London bombings or the 2008 attackers in Mumbai. These groups are antagonized by geo-political issues such as the unquestioning US support for Israel; America’s continuing presence on the Arabian Peninsula; and Western support for regimes perceived as oppressing Muslims; and at the same time most factions have their own regional agendas superimposed.

President Obama is attempting to move the goal posts, with the withdrawal from Iraq; the renewed focus on Afghanistan/Pakistan and a rapprochement with the Arab and Muslim world. And although they would appear to be moves in the right direction it is questionable whether it is just too little too late. There seems to be never ending numbers of new jihadists prepared fight for their cause. And while Western policies continue to alienate Arabs and Muslims in general, it provides fertile ground for those who manipulate in the name of religion. If the US and their allies are ever going to win the War on Terror it is critical to recognize what victory really looks like. The capture or demise of bin Laden would certainly be a milestone, but in no way can be considered as a complete victory. Moreover, this could become a double edged sword for the US alliance, particularly if his death were to be interpreted by his supporters as martyrdom. On the other hand, would a triumph in Afghanistan be enough to declare the West winners? NATO forces seem to be bogged down like the Russians before them, so it is difficult to foresee this outcome. Moreover, it is debatable whether there will ever be peace without tackling some of the root causes of Arab and Muslim discontent. Whether US politicians like it or not, among the many intractable problems that somehow need to be addressed are: some resolution of the Palestine question and changes in policy towards Israeli. Despite the persistent failure of the West’s peace efforts; positive change must be part of the solution or we risk a continuing cycle of violence over the coming decades. Right now it is impossible to say that anyone is winning the War on Terror.


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Saturday, July 4, 2009

Wadi Bashing

In the early stages of the spy thriller—Most Wanted—we find our heroes driving hard, “wadi-bashing”; pursuing the world’s most wanted terrorist through the most spectacular landscapes on the Arabian peninsular. The chase through Yemen plays out against the backdrop of rugged mountain scenery; dotted with unique architecture; and interspersed with green verdant terraces and lush oases.

The trail takes them northward into Sada province, home to lawless Yemeni tribesmen armed to the teeth. The tribes in this region have a different culture, are fiercely independent and for many years they have taken to kidnapping foreigners. Hostages were typically taken to pressure the government; mainly to free clan members from jail and were then generally released unharmed. However, more recently the tribesmen have developed stronger links with a resurgent Al Qaeda and tourists are now strongly advised to avoid Yemen.
Descending the mountain passes towards the largely uninhabited border area with Saudi Arabia, our fugitives make their getaway skirting the edge of the Empty Quarter, where the rocky terrain gives way to massive rolling sand dunes. This is the true Arabian Desert. Driving skills are critical to navigate in this territory, as the unwary can quickly lose a shock absorber or become trapped deep in the sand. Rescue is not usually close at hand either, as only the occasional Bedouin inhabit this desolate, barren land. Traditionally smuggling of contraband into and out of Saudi has been one of the main economic activities in the region. The Saudis found it very difficult to control illegal imports and in recent years have become concerned to stop the infiltration of terrorist groups, seeking to carry out attacks in Saudi Arabia. A network of sandbags and pipelines, three meters high, filled with concrete and fitted with electronic detection equipment was constructed in 2000, in an attempt to curb the penetration of the border. After Yemeni protests work was stopped in 2004. Somehow it is difficult to imagine that such measures would deter a stubborn tribesman never mind a trained insurgent.

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Saturday, June 27, 2009

The Obvious Spies

Many ask if the “Circus,” as MI6 has commonly been referred to in books and film, has ever been real slang for the MI6—the UK Secret Intelligence Service—or is it just a invention of John le Carré in his famous Smiley trilogy?

Despite the evocative imagery; the sad truth is MI6 has never actually had its home near Oxford or Cambridge Circus, the story behind le Carré’s naming. At the time his novels were written, the actual HQ was Century House, a modern office block in Lambeth, now converted into an apartment building; which incidentally barely resembles the original drab sixties concrete tower block. Prior to that MI6 was housed for nearly forty years on Broadway—the one near St James’ Park that is...

And just as the CIA is known internally as “The Company,” MI6 is rather unimaginatively nicknamed as “The Firm.” It is also referred to colloquially by other agencies as “The Friends”. Currently the Firm is housed at Vauxhall Cross in London, in an avant-garde building designed by architect Terry Farrell and branded as “Legoland” by those who work there. It is almost impossible to imagine a more conspicuous building along the Thames and it remains a bizarre choice for a secret service who presumably should want to keep a low profile. Or are they hiding in plain sight?
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Sunday, June 21, 2009

One of the Greatest Mysteries of our time...

Check out the press release for Most Wanted by Mark McHugh
http://www.free-press-release.com/news/200906/1245594594.html

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Search Inside the Book on Amazon


You can now use the search inside the book feature on Amazon to preview before you buy.

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Friday, June 19, 2009

Answers to Yesterday's Bin Laden Quiz

Find out how much you really know about the hunt for the world's most wanted terrorist...

Quiz Answers
Score 5 for each correct answer
ANSWER 1: B—36 tapes, the last one was received on June, 3 2009. All are believed genuine by the security services.
ANSWER 2: C—13 months between December 2004 and January 2006
ANSWER 3: B—Colin Powell, on Sept, 23 2001.
ANSWER 4: D—U$52 million— on July 13, 2007, this original figure of U$25 million was doubled to $50 million and the Airline Pilots Association and the Air Transport Association have offered an additional $2 million reward.
ANSWER 5: C—Geography Professor Thomas Gillespie of UCLA employed a technique typically used for tracking endangered species in order to pinpoint the most likely location of the world's most wanted terrorist.
ANSWER 6: B—Although nobody seems to have a clue and experts claim it’s like trying to find a needle in a haystack; northwestern Pakistan's impenetrable Hindu Kush mountains in the Chitral region—which boast some of the world's tallest climbs—have been eyed as bin Laden's hideout since 2006 by Usama hunters
ANSWER 7: A—CIA Director Leon Panetta. Although, it begs the question who he is asking and what type of response he gets on a daily basis.
ANSWER 8: A—U$ 300 million. Usama inherited most of his wealth from his father’s multi-billion dollar construction business in Saudi. This is before taking into account donations from radical organizations around the world.
ANSWER 9: D—1980, Afghanistan—The U.S., Pakistan, China, Iran and Saudi Arabia supplied money and arms to anti-Soviet forces. Funneling the funds through the CIA, the U.S. gave about $10 billion to Afghan fighters. Among those who fought was Osama bin Laden.

How did you do?
Score 0-14: So you don’t have a clue! Small wonder bin Laden has remained undiscovered for eight years.
Score 15-24: You are getting warmer—but finding bin Laden is like searching for a needle in a haystack according to Donald Rumsfeld. Close is still not good enough.
Score 25-34: You know enough to be dangerous. Bin Laden will need to keep on the move to avoid being detected.
Score 35- 45: CIA Director Leon Panetta is getting worried about his job; with good reason it seems. We will be arranging a briefing for you with the commander of Task Force 121 .
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Thursday, June 18, 2009

Bin Laden Quiz - Answers tomorrow


Test your knowledge on the hunt for bin Laden.


QUESTION 1: How many tapes has bin Laden reportedly issued since 9/11 and when was the latest? A: 29; B: 36; C: 27; or D: 41
QUESTION 2: What was the longest gap between recordings, giving rise to more than normal speculation that bin Laden was dead? A: 17 months; B: 14 months; C: 13 months; or D: 9 months.
QUESTION 3: Who announced the U$25 million reward for the capture of bin Laden? A: Secretary of Defense Donald Rumsfeld; B: Secretary of State Colin Powell; C: Vice President Dick Cheney; or D: FBI Director Robert Swan Mueller III.
QUESTION 4: How much is the reward for bin Laden’s capture or death today? A: $US25 million; B U$60 million; C: U$50 million; or D: U$52 million
QUESTION 5: Which of the following persons has not gone on record insisting bin Laden is dead? A: Former Pakistani President Pervez Musharraf; B: Afghan President Hamid Karzai; C: Bin Laden Expert Professor Tom Gillespie; or D: Former Pakistani President Benazir Bhutto.
QUESTION 6: Where does the US Intelligence community currently think he is most likely to be found? A: The caves at Tora Bora, Afghanistan; B: The Chitral Region, Pakistan; C: The city of Parachinar, Pakistan; or D: Baluchistan, Iran.
QUESTION 7: Who told Congress that he asks every day where bin Laden is? A: CIA Director Leon Panetta; B: President Barack Obama; C: Defense Secretary Robert Gates; or D: General David Petraeus.
QUESTION 8: What is the current estimate of bin Laden’s personal fortune? A: U$ 300 million; B U$ 50 million; C: U$ 2 billion; or D: U$ 15 million
QUESTION 9: When and where did bin Laden first go to war? A: 1992, Somalia; B: 1991, Sudan; C: 1995 Egypt; or D: 1980 Afghanistan
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